Insider news & Analysis in Iran
Iran’s Commitment to Ultimatums Appears Questionable After International Meetings

By Edward Carney

On Friday, the Islamic Republic of Iran once again reiterated its ultimatum to the European signatories of the 2015 nuclear deal, with Foreign Ministry spokesman Abbas Mousavi saying that it is the “last chance” for the United Kingdom, France, and Germany to prevent the collapse of the agreement.

In Multiple Global Meetings, White House Explains, Promotes “Maximum Pressure”

By Edward Carney

Thursday was marked by a number of meetings partly or entirely focused on the rising tensions between Iran and the US. The Iran nuclear deal and the Revolutionary Guards’ attacks on oil tankers and an American drone were reportedly major points of focus in the gathering of G-20 leaders in Japan. Meanwhile, the US special envoy for Iran, Brian Hook, traveled to Paris to meet with the European signatories of the 2015 nuclear deal and discuss the Iranian regime’s imminent violations of its provisions. And in a closed-door session with NATO, acting US Secretary of Defense Mark Esper restated the American position amidst the escalating tensions, emphasizing that the US does not want war but will not tolerate further provocations.

Iran and United States – Will There Be Military Conflict?

By Mahmoud Hakamian

Tensions between the United States and Iran have been increasing over the past few weeks. There were major concerns that a war would ensue after the United States deployed more forces and several military vessels to the Gulf. The Trump administration said at the time that it was ensuring that it was prepared for anything Iran was plotting, given credible threats that it had issued to the United States.

How Trump's Messages Were Understood by Iran's Mullahs

Dr Salem Al Ketbi

Since tensions have been exacerbated by repeated mullahs’ violations and attacks on oil tankers or the American drone, US President Donald Trump has stated on several occasions that he did not want a war with Iran.

But in recent hours, this statement has been accompanied by a direct and explicit warning. Trump said a war with Iran would cause “obliteration like you’ve never seen before,” adding that he has no desire for conflict. We are not talking about an air strike or a missile attack limited by the United States, but about an all-out war.

New Sanctions Reflect White House's Commitment to Changing Iran Without War

By Edward Carney

On Monday, the escalating tensions between Iran and the US gave rise to yet another executive order outlining sanctions to be imposed on the Islamic Republic by the Trump White House. The president invited reporters into the Oval Office to observe the signing of that order, which was not previously announced. However, it was not entirely clear whether the given sanctions were being imposed in response to last week’s downing of an American surveillance drone by an Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps surface-to-air missile. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin indicated that this was the impetus for some of the new measures, but also that some had been pre-planned.

Iran's Downing of a US Drone Represents Clear Escalation, but War Remains Unlikely

By Edward Carney

On Thursday, it was confirmed that the Islamic Republic of Iran had shot down an American drone, as the Pentagon released footage showing the smoke trail left by the unmanned aircraft as it descended into the waters near the Persian Gulf. The existence of that footage underlines further statements by US officials regarding the incident, in which they claimed to have evidence that would help to resolve the dispute between the two countries over the circumstances leading up to the attack.

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