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Iran’s Inflation Rate Soars to Highest Level in 80 Years

By
Jazeh Miller
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Iran's Inflation Rate Soars to Highest Level in 80 Years
Iran's Inflation Rate Soars to Highest Level in 80 Years

On April 20th, the Central Bank of Iran announced the annual inflation rate for 2023-2024 as a staggering 52.3%. This figure, displayed in a table used to calculate debt and dowry payments, marks the highest inflation rate in Iran since 1942, during the Allied occupation of World War II.

This announcement contradicts a previous report from Iran’s Statistics Center on March 22nd, which placed the inflation rate at 40.7%. This significant discrepancy raises concerns about data manipulation, echoing accusations from some members of parliament and economic experts.

Faraz Daily further fueled these concerns in a March 28th report titled “Worrying signs of manipulation to show the government’s success in controlling inflation.” The report suggests a possible trend of manipulating statistics to create a more favorable picture for the Raisi administration by year’s end.

The delay in officially announcing the Persian calendar year 1402 (March 2023–March 2024) inflation rate is also noteworthy. This 33-day delay could be linked to manipulation attempts. However, based on the aforementioned table, the 2023 inflation rate is estimated at 52.3%, an unprecedented high since 1942.

Previously, the highest annual inflation rate post-revolution occurred in 1995 under President Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, reaching 49.4%.

The Central Bank’s data exposes another worrying trend: persistent inflation exceeding 40% for the past five years. This has never been seen before in Iran’s recorded inflation history.

Furthermore, the combination of a planned 20-35% salary increase for workers and pensioners in 2024 with the much higher actual inflation rate suggests a significant decline in purchasing power. This scenario is likely to worsen economic hardship for at least three-quarters of the population, pushing more people into poverty.

The situation is further complicated by potential US and European sanctions targeting Iran’s support for regional militant groups. Coupled with reports of a 25-30% rise in food and essential goods prices in April, these factors point towards even higher inflation records in 2024.

The Central Bank reports an inflation index of 980 at the end of 2023, reflecting a near 587% increase compared to mid-2018. This record-breaking inflation comes despite claims of success in controlling inflation by economic officials like Central Bank head Mohammad Reza Farzin. Additionally, Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei designated 2023 as the year of “curbing inflation and production growth,” highlighting the stark contrast between promises and reality.

A historical perspective reveals a pattern of failed attempts by various Iranian governments to control inflation. Their inefficient management has consistently produced the opposite effect, accelerating inflation rather than curbing it.

Iran’s Human Rights Crisis Deepens in 2023: Amnesty International Report

By
Jazeh Miller
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Iran's Human Rights Crisis Deepens in 2023: Amnesty International Report
Iran's Human Rights Crisis Deepens in 2023: Amnesty International Report

Iran regime’s human rights record continued its downward spiral in 2023, according to a scathing report by Amnesty International. The report, titled “The State of the World’s Human Rights: April 2024” details a systematic crackdown on dissent, widespread torture, and a surging use of the death penalty.

The report comes in the wake of the 2022 protests, a nationwide movement sparked by the death of Mahsa Amini, a young woman arrested for violating Iran’s compulsory veiling laws. The report paints a grim picture of the Iranian regime’s response to these protests, highlighting a series of repressive measures aimed at silencing dissent.

Crackdown on Freedoms:

Amnesty International documented a systematic effort by Iranian regime authorities to suppress basic human rights. Freedom of expression, association, and peaceful assembly came under heavy fire. The report details the use of censorship, jamming of satellite television channels, and the continued blocking of social media platforms. An internet blackout was also employed to disrupt communication during anticipated protests.

Security forces resorted to brutal tactics to quell dissent. Protests were met with unlawful force, mass arrests, and violence. Thousands of individuals, including protesters, journalists, human rights defenders, and even bystanders, faced interrogation, arbitrary detention, and unjust prosecutions for peacefully exercising their rights.

Systematic Abuses:

The report exposes a pattern of systematic human rights abuses by Iranian regime authorities. Enforced disappearances, torture, and other forms of ill-treatment were documented as widespread practices. Detainees were subjected to beatings, floggings, electric shocks, mock executions, and denial of basic necessities. Torture-tainted “confessions” were reportedly extracted and used as evidence in unfair trials.

Women and girls faced a particularly harsh reality. Regime authorities intensified their enforcement of compulsory veiling laws, implementing measures that violated social, economic, and cultural rights. These included sending threatening SMS warnings to women, immobilizing vehicles driven by women without proper head coverings, and denying basic services to those deemed non-compliant. The report also details the tragic death of 16-year-old Armita Garawand, who fell into a coma after an alleged confrontation with an enforcer of veil laws.

Ethnic and religious minorities also bore the brunt of discrimination. Groups like Ahwazi Arabs, Kurds, and Baluchis faced limited access to education, employment, and political participation. The report highlights the unlawful killings of unarmed Kurdish couriers and Baluchi fuel porters by security forces. Religious minorities like Baha’is and Christians were subjected to arbitrary detention, unjust prosecution, and limitations on practicing their faith.

Spiked Executions and Impunity:

The report reveals a disturbing surge in executions in 2023. The number of executions documented by Amnesty International reached a staggering 853, the highest in eight years. Nearly half were related to drug offenses, raising concerns about the use of the death penalty for non-violent crimes. Executions were also documented for vaguely worded offenses and as a tool to silence political dissent.

Amnesty International emphasizes the lack of due process in these executions. Trials were described as grossly unfair, often relying on torture-extracted confessions and lacking basic legal safeguards. The report criticizes the Iranian regime judiciary for its lack of independence and its role in perpetuating impunity for human rights violations.

The report further condemns the continued lack of accountability for past atrocities, particularly the 1988 prison massacres, where thousands of political dissidents were extrajudicially executed. Those suspected of involvement in these crimes still hold high-ranking positions within the Iranian government. Efforts by families to seek truth and justice have been met with harassment and intimidation.

Key Takeaways

  1. Freedom of Expression, Association, and Assembly:
    • Authorities censored media, blocked social media platforms, and disrupted internet access during protests.
    • Security forces used unlawful force against protesters, resulting in injuries and mass arrests.
  2. Arbitrary Detention and Unfair Trials:
    • Thousands were arbitrarily detained, with trials marked by due process violations and admission of torture-tainted confessions.
  3. Enforced Disappearances and Torture:
    • Detainees were subjected to enforced disappearance, torture, and ill-treatment in detention facilities controlled by security forces.
  4. Discrimination Against Women and Girls:
    • Women faced intensified crackdowns for defying compulsory veiling, including punitive measures like imprisonment and fines.
    • Chemical attacks targeting schoolgirls were reported.
  5. Discrimination Against Ethnic and Religious Minorities:
    • Ethnic and religious minorities faced discrimination in education, employment, and political participation.
    • Discrimination against Baha’is and Christians led to arbitrary detentions and closure of businesses.
  6. Death Penalty and Impunity:
    • Executions increased, including for non-violent offenses and acts protected by human rights.
    • Impunity prevailed for unlawful killings and torture, with no public officials held accountable.
  7. Refugees’ and Migrants’ Rights:
    • Afghan nationals faced discrimination and hate crimes, with hundreds of thousands reportedly repatriated.
  8. Environmental Crisis:
    • Iran’s environmental crisis, including pollution and loss of natural resources, was criticized for lack of government action.

The U.S. tightens sanctions on Iran, targeting cyber attackers

By
Mostafa Aslani
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The U.S. tightens sanctions on Iran, targeting cyber attackers.
The U.S. tightens sanctions on Iran, targeting cyber attackers.

The U.S. Treasury Department announced new sanctions against Iran’s regime on Tuesday. These sanctions target four individuals and two companies accused of cyberattacks against American businesses and government agencies.

The Treasury Department claims these actors acted on behalf of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Cyber Electronic Command (IRGC-CEC). The attacks reportedly included spear phishing and malware deployment.

“Iran continues to launch cyberattacks against the U.S. to disrupt our infrastructure and harm our citizens,” stated Brian Nelson, Under Secretary for Terrorism and Financial Intelligence at the Treasury. “The U.S. will continue to expose and disrupt these operations using all available resources.”

These latest sanctions come amidst ongoing tensions between the U.S. and Iran. The U.S. has previously sanctioned Iran for supporting militant groups in the Middle East and aiding Russia’s war in Ukraine.

This follows recent sanctions targeting Iran’s drone program in response to an attack on Israel. That attack was a retaliation for an airstrike on the Iranian consulate in Damascus, believed to be by Israel.

In addition to the sanctions, the U.S. Department of Justice and FBI have indicted the four individuals for their alleged cyber activities against the U.S.

Senate Approves Foreign Aid Bill with Tough Measures on Iran’s regime

By
Mostafa Aslani
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Senate Approves Foreign Aid Bill with Tough Measures on Iran
Senate Approves Foreign Aid Bill with Tough Measures on Iran

The US Senate overwhelmingly passed a comprehensive foreign aid bill yesterday by a vote of 79-18. The bill, which had previously been approved by the House of Representatives, now heads to President’s desk for his signature.

This legislation is significant because it includes several provisions specifically targeting the Iranian regime. These provisions aim to counter Iran regime’s human rights abuses, sponsorship of terrorism, nuclear program, and ballistic missile development.

Key Measures Targeting Iran’s regime:

  • Stop Harboring Iranian Petroleum Act (SHIP Act): This act aims to reduce Iran regime’s oil revenue, a major source of funding for terrorism in the region.
  • Fight and Combat Rampant Iranian Missile Exports Act (Fight CRIME Act): This act targets Iran regime’s development and proliferation of ballistic missiles and drones.
  • Mahsa Amini Human Rights and Security Accountability Act (MAHSA Act): This act highlights human rights abuses by Iranian regime officials, including its current president Ebrahim Raisi, and imposes sanctions on those responsible.
  • No Technology for Terror Act: This act makes permanent existing restrictions on the transfer of technology that could be used by Iran’s regime to build weapons.
  • Holding Iranian Leaders Accountable Act: This act aims to increase transparency regarding the financial activities of Iranian leadership.
  • Iran-China Energy Sanctions Act of 2023: This act targets trade between China and Iran’s regime, specifically the purchase of Iranian oil.

If signed into law, these provisions represent a significant shift in U.S. policy towards the Iranian regime. They aim to pressure the regime to change its behavior and support the Iranian people’s desire for a more representative government.

Iran’s ‘Noor Project’: Can Coercive Measures Stifle Freedom’s Flame?

By
Poorang Novak
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Iran's 'Noor Project': Can Coercive Measures Stifle Freedom's Flame?
Iran's 'Noor Project': Can Coercive Measures Stifle Freedom's Flame?

The Iranian regime’s morality patrol has once again expanded under the title of the ‘Noor (Light) Project’. With its warmongering in the region on one hand and the hijab issue on the other, Khamenei’s rule intends to restore the previous balance—a balance that was disrupted with the 2022 uprising and the heinous murder of Mahsa Amini. The regime’s Minister of Interior has praised the actions of the regime’s corrupt leaders.

During this period, numerous videos have emerged depicting the inhumane and cruel treatment of women and girls in the country, all in the name of enforcing mandatory hijab. Despite their presence in public spaces, these enforcers have failed to impose the mandatory hijab on women and girls.

In a conversation with a sociologist, the state-run newspaper Setareh-e Sobh has discussed the consequences of implementing the Noor Project. He says, “Social studies indicate that since the bitter events of 2022, society has entered a new phase. This new situation has deep roots; it’s impossible to revert society to its previous state through physical, judicial, police, or security means. Society is evolving in a direction that will ultimately shape our thoughts, ideas, and desires.”

The changes sparked by the 2022 nationwide uprising seem enduring, as the regime desperately attempts to thwart their impact. During this period, the regime has faced numerous challenges. One of these, which should not be overlooked, is the widespread participation of brave Iranian women in these uprisings—women who have been deprived of freedom and equal rights for over 43 years.

Continuing his discussion, the sociologist talks about women’s veil and hijab, stating, “Whether we like it or not, in matters of clothing and topics related to women, society is moving towards the freedom of choice. If the government aims to reverse this trend, it can only be achieved through cultural means. Cultural goals cannot be attained through legal constraints. My prediction for ongoing actions is failure.”

He concludes, “According to social psychology studies, social capital has never been as low as it is today. The way the hijab issue, academic critics, and those seeking their dues, such as retirees and workers, are dealt with serves as a powerful driver in reducing social capital.”

The Real Measure of Governance: The Freedom Index

The true measure of a people’s sovereignty lies in the freedom and democracy index, which directly confronts the authority of religious governance. After the 2022 protests, it became evident that real freedom and democracy in Iran are quantifiable. Firstly, it must be complete and in direct opposition to the despotic rule of Velayat al-Faqih.

The current state of society, one and a half years since the 2022 protests, is in absolute conflict with this regime. The people of Iran, especially brave women and girls, now demand nothing less than the ability to determine their own destiny.

We must acknowledge that the conflict with the rule of Velayat al-Faqih has reached a point of no return. Rebellious women and young people represent a new and defiant generation in the continuation of four decades of struggle against the ruling regime.

The regime’s resorting to such desperate measures is a clear sign of the desire for freedom and democracy by the people, which includes equality and women’s participation in all areas.

Iran’s Human Rights Record: A Cause for Concern

By
Mostafa Aslani
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Iran's Human Rights Record: A Cause for Concern
Iran's Human Rights Record: A Cause for Concern

The 2023 US State Department report on human rights paints a grim picture of the situation in Iran. The report details widespread violations across seven key areas: human dignity, civil liberties, political participation, corruption, lack of cooperation with international investigations, discrimination, and mistreatment of workers.

Deteriorating Conditions and Widespread Abuses

The report highlights a significant deterioration in human rights conditions compared to the previous year. Women face a multitude of discriminatory practices, including the mandatory hijab law. Executions surged by 37%, with 798 Iranian citizens put to death in 2023. Religious minorities, particularly Baha’is, are routinely targeted.

Executions, Torture, and Unfair Trials

The report condemns the use of executions without fair trials, including those of child offenders. Many executions occur in detention centers, raising concerns about extrajudicial killings. The so-called revolutionary courts are criticized for denying defendants access to lawyers and relying on coerced confessions obtained through torture. The report cites the unjust execution of three protestors in Isfahan as a prime example. A disproportionate number of executions are carried out against ethnic minorities, with 28% belonging to minority groups in 2023.

Arbitrary Detentions and Brutal Prison Conditions

The report details numerous instances of arbitrary arrests by plainclothes agents, often targeting lawyers, journalists, and human rights activists. Incarceration in Iranian prisons is depicted as inhumane, with overcrowding, denial of medical care, and physical abuse threatening the lives of detainees. The report mentions widespread torture methods like threats of execution, sexual assault, and forced drug administration. Several prisons are specifically named as notorious torture sites. Human rights organizations have documented numerous cases of politically motivated detention, particularly of dual nationals.

Extraterritorial Repression and Lack of Freedom of Expression

The report exposes the Iranian government’s attempts to silence dissent beyond its borders. Cases of revenge attacks, kidnappings, and forced returns targeting Iranian expatriates are documented. Freedom of expression within Iran is severely restricted, with citizens facing punishment for criticizing the government, leadership, or religion. Internet access is heavily filtered and censored.

Corruption and Lack of Transparency

The report criticizes widespread corruption within Iranian institutions, particularly the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and government bodies. It highlights the vast wealth controlled by tax-exempt endowment foundations benefiting clerics and military personnel. The Iranian government’s obstruction of international human rights investigations and its refusal to cooperate with the UN Special Rapporteur further raise concerns about a lack of transparency. Human rights activists operating within Iran are constantly harassed, interrogated, and arrested.

Discrimination and Restrictions on Participation

Discrimination against women is a significant theme in the report. The mandatory hijab law is highlighted, along with threats and punishments faced by women who do not comply. Women’s participation in the workforce is systematically limited, with their labor market participation rate below 14% according to World Bank data. The report also criticizes anti-Semitic rhetoric and discrimination against Iran’s Jewish community. Finally, the report identifies limitations on peaceful political participation and violations of workers’ rights.

The Need for Urgent Action

The US State Department’s report provides a damning indictment of Iran’s human rights record. The international community must take urgent action to pressure the Iranian regime to stop human rights violations.

Iran’s Shadow: Growing Influence Sparks Concerns in the UK

By
Mostafa Aslani
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Iran's Shadow: Growing Influence Sparks Concerns in the UK
Iran's Shadow: Growing Influence Sparks Concerns in the UK

This report is based on an original article published in The Sunday Times.

British security services are facing a complex challenge as Iran’s influence in the UK appears to be on the rise. This influence manifests in two key ways: through the activities of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), the powerful military wing of the Iranian regime, and through a network of seemingly benign organizations with close ties to Tehran.

The IRGC has become a focal point of concern. Accused of plotting assassinations and kidnappings on British soil, the organization is seen as a direct threat to national security. Ken McCallum, the Director-General of MI5, has placed Iran alongside Russia and China as a top security threat. Proponents of proscribing the IRGC as a terrorist organization argue it would disrupt their operations and deter potential collaborators. However, the UK government hesitates due to the need to maintain diplomatic channels with Iran.

Beyond overt threats, Iran is also adept at wielding “soft power” to influence British society. A network of charities, cultural centers, and even some media outlets suspected of having links to the Iranian regime operate across the UK. These organizations often promote a specific viewpoint that aligns with Tehran’s interests.

One such group under scrutiny is the Islamic Centre of England (ICE). Described as the “London office” of the IRGC by some lawmakers, ICE is currently under investigation by the Charity Commission, a government watchdog that regulates charities. The Commission is examining concerns about ICE’s governance and potential links to extremism.

Another example is the Islamic Cultural Centre in Manchester. Here, a former director reportedly boasted about attending an award ceremony in Iran for “best soft war” officers, raising questions about the center’s true mission.

The impact of Iran’s influence campaign is felt across British society. Some reports suggest Iranian efforts may contribute to social tensions. For instance, protests surrounding the display of cartoons depicting the Prophet Muhammad or a controversial film about a religious figure are seen by some as partly fueled by Iranian agitation. Additionally, Iranian state media outlets, despite facing broadcasting restrictions, use social media platforms to reach British audiences and promote narratives that align with the regime’s agenda.

Key Takeaways

  • Iran’s influence in the UK is a growing concern, with the IRGC’s activities and a network of seemingly benign organizations suspected of regime ties being key areas of focus.
  • The IRGC is accused of plotting assassinations and kidnappings, while organizations like the Islamic Centre of England (ICE) are under investigation for potential links to extremism.
  • Iran’s “soft power” efforts are seen as contributing to social tensions in the UK, with concerns about protests and the influence of Iranian state media being raised.
  • British authorities face a complex challenge in countering Iran’s influence while maintaining diplomatic channels.

Iran’s Drug Crisis: Executions and a Growing Problem

By
Mahmoud Hamidi
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Iran's Drug Crisis: Executions and a Growing Problem
Iran's Drug Crisis: Executions and a Growing Problem

Mass Executions for Drug Offenses

Human rights organizations have documented a surge in executions in Iran, with at least 19 prisoners put to death on drug-related charges between April 11th and 19th, 2024. These executions occurred in prisons across the country, including Urmia, Karaj, Mashhad, Ahvaz, Tabriz, Hamedan, Isfahan, and Zanjan.

On a single Sunday, media outlets reported the execution of at least nine prisoners in various cities. HAALVSH, a human rights website, documented the execution of five prisoners in Kerman prison and two in Chabahar prison, all on drug trafficking charges. The same day, news emerged of two more executions at Ghezel Hesar prison in Karaj. These individuals were sentenced in separate cases but faced the same fate.

These executions are likely just a fraction of the total number carried out. The Iranian regime judiciary, facing international criticism, is suspected of underreporting drug-related executions. HAALVSH identified four of the executed prisoners in Kerman: Ahmadreza Miri, Shamsuddin Keshani, Shaukat Shahbakhsh (Darkzahi), and Jamal Mardani. A fifth Baloch citizen was also executed, but their identity remains unknown. Similarly, reports from Chabahar identified Saeed Jadgal and Mohammad (Mohammadjan) Anjamrooz as the executed prisoners there. All seven individuals had their final meetings with family on Saturday before their executions on Sunday morning.

In Karaj’s Ghezel Hesar prison, Hengaw, a human rights organization, reported the execution of two prisoners on drug charges: Alireza Shahbaz (38) from Tehran and Ali Jafar Taheri from Delfan city. This news follows a report by Hrana on Saturday, which documented the transfer of two individuals in Qezal-Hesar prison to solitary confinement in preparation for execution on drug-related charges.

The Roots of Addiction

The rise in executions is a response to a growing crisis: widespread drug addiction among Iranian youth. Social workers attribute the increase in drug use to factors like poverty, political instability, and economic hardship. The Iranian government, however, adopts a repressive approach, resorting to executions of drug dealers and traffickers as a solution.

Amnesty International’s April 4th report, “Don’t Let Them Kill Us,” revealed that out of 853 executions documented in 2023, a staggering 481 were for drug offenses – over half the total. This represents an alarming increase: 89% from 2022 and a staggering 264% from 2021.

Lack of Transparency and a Worsening Problem

Despite the crisis, Iranian regime authorities remain opaque about the true extent of the problem. Social organization directors and officials from the anti-narcotics headquarters refuse to provide accurate data on drug prevalence and the number of addicts. However, reports from social workers, journalists, and even some members of parliament paint a concerning picture.

Drug use has become alarmingly widespread, reaching as young as elementary school students, with some starting as early as 10 years old. In a 2022 report by the Hamdeli newspaper, former Education Minister and current parliament member, Hamidreza Hajibabaei, acknowledged the situation but refused to disclose statistics on addicted students.

Further evidence of the dire situation comes from a December 2023 meeting between Mohammad Mehdi Bolandyan, the political and judicial deputy of the General Inspection Organization, and Eskandar Momeni, the secretary general of the anti-narcotics headquarters. Bolandyan reportedly stated that “the economy of prisons is supported by drugs,” highlighting the dependence on a system seemingly fueling the very problem it aims to address.

A February 2024 report by Etemad newspaper surveyed the most commonly used drugs and their prices across Iran’s 31 provinces. The report revealed a significant shift in the pattern of addiction over the past seven years. Industrial drugs like heroin, and meth has become the major consumed drugs, replacing opium and other less dangerous drugs.

EU Agrees to Expand Sanctions on Iran’s regime

By
Mostafa Aslani
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EU Agrees to Expand Sanctions on Iran's regime
EU Agrees to Expand Sanctions on Iran's regime

Following a meeting of European Union foreign ministers in Luxembourg, the bloc’s foreign policy chief, Josep Borrell, announced an agreement in principle to expand sanctions on Iran. This comes in response to Tehran’s recent missile and drone attacks on Israel.

Borrell, speaking on April 22nd, explained that the new sanctions aim to strengthen existing restrictions on Iran’s drone and missile programs, including their potential transfer to Russia. He emphasized that the sanctions would go beyond Russia, targeting supplies of drones and missiles to Iranian proxy groups in the region as well.

While some EU members pushed for designating the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) a terrorist organization and imposing sanctions on it, Borrell did not address these requests.

The legal framework for implementing the agreed-upon sanctions still needs to be determined and approved by all 27 EU member states.

Further Sanctions Discussed

The Luxembourg meeting also addressed the possibility of additional sanctions on Iran for human rights violations and the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction. The EU intends to review existing sanctions related to Iran’s missile program.

Calls for Stronger Measures

Prior to the meeting, several EU officials voiced support for harsher measures against Iran. Belgian Foreign Minister Hajia Lahbib advocated for including the IRGC in the new sanctions, though no agreement was reached on a legal basis for designating them as a terrorist group.

The Austrian Foreign Minister expressed support for expanding drone sanctions due to concerns about transfers to Russia and proxy groups. He anticipated a political agreement on the matter.

EU Leaders and G7 Take Action

EU leaders had previously reached a general consensus on imposing new sanctions at a summit in Brussels following Iran’s attack on Israel. The foreign ministers’ meeting served to determine the specifics.

At a recent G7 meeting, the foreign ministers of G7 nations, including four EU members (Britain, Germany, France, and Italy), imposed sanctions on Iran’s missile and drone programs, along with related entities, including Chinese companies supplying parts to Iran’s military drone industry.

Background

The decision to expand sanctions stems from two key events:

  • Iran’s unprecedented military attack on Israel on April 13th, raising fears of a wider regional conflict.
  • Russia’s use of Iranian drones in attacks against Ukrainian civilians and infrastructure over the past two years.

Ongoing Tensions

Belgium, seeking to designate the IRGC a terrorist organization, has faced diplomatic tensions with Iran. This stems from the conviction of an Iranian diplomat linked to terrorist plots in Europe and the imprisonment of a Belgian aid worker in Iran.

Iran on the Brink: Nuclear Threat Looms Large (According to Bild)

By
Mostafa Aslani
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Iran on the Brink Nuclear Threat Looms Large
Iran on the Brink Nuclear Threat Looms Large

A chilling prospect hangs over the Middle East: Iran’s potential possession of a nuclear bomb within weeks, according to a report in Bild. This terrifying outcome follows the recent Israeli counterattack and the subsequent uneasy calm.

Ulrich Schlie, security studies director at the University of Bonn, warns that Iran stands on the precipice of nuclear weapon capability, as reported by Bild. He estimates a timeframe of mere weeks for them to achieve this.

The possibility of Iran using nuclear weapons is heightened by their recent large-scale attack on Israel. Experts believe this assault served as a display of Iran’s “all options and capabilities,” including a potential nuclear strike or using the bomb as a deterrent against further Israeli action, according to Bild.

While a preemptive strike on Iran’s production facilities by Israel might delay the program, experts like Fabian Hinz of the IISS argue it wouldn’t dismantle it entirely, as reported by Bild.

The urgency is dire. Sima Shine, an Iran expert from the INSS think tank, emphasizes the need for immediate and maximum pressure from the US and EU to prevent “catastrophe,” according to Bild.

However, the timeline for weaponization presents a complex picture. Security expert Prof. Krause clarifies that “within a week” refers to Iran’s ability to produce enough enriched uranium, not a deployable nuclear weapon, as reported by Bild. Challenges remain in miniaturization for missile delivery and the need for pre-deployment testing.

Testing itself triggers a critical point. A nuclear test would likely prompt an immediate attack on Iran, potentially with nuclear weapons, to neutralize their arsenal before it becomes operational, according to Bild.

For Israel, the stakes are existential. Prof. Krause emphasizes that Israel might resort to using nuclear weapons itself to dismantle Iran’s program, given its small size and vulnerability to a nuclear attack, as reported by Bild.

The report in Bild concludes with a stark reminder: Iran’s leadership maintains its goal of destroying Israel. Despite potential consequences, experts believe they might still launch a nuclear strike if they have the capability.

“People’s Pockets Have Been Pierced”: Iranian Officials Sound Alarm on Growing Public Frustration

By
Jazeh Miller
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"People's Pockets Have Been Pierced": Iranian Officials Sound Alarm on Growing Public Frustration

Jafarzadeh Imenabadi, a former member of Iran’s regime parliament, spoke candidly on Sunday during a conversation with the state-run daily Khabar Online, admitting to the widespread poverty and poor quality of life among the populace. He warned the regime about the growing discontent among the nation, highlighting the explosive conditions within society.

In his speech, he addressed various hardships faced by the people: “People are encountering difficulties in accessing medical treatment, obtaining protein-rich food, and securing housing.”

“The skyrocketing prices of goods, the fluctuating dollar exchange rate, and the soaring costs of medicines, protein-rich foods, clothing, and education are stark indicators of the worsening situation. Meat prices have surged to over 800 thousand tomans. People’s livelihoods are being devastated, not merely constrained.”

He cautioned about the volatile and inflammatory atmosphere prevailing in society: “Public discontent is evident towards Tehran Municipality and various government ministries. There’s growing frustration even among the ministry staff. There are reports of discontent and even cursing towards the minister in the Ministry of Economy, a scenario unheard of in the past.”

Imenabadi criticized the ostentatious and disconnected nature of the regime’s president, particularly his highly-guarded visits to different parts of the country: “Raisi travels to cities with a large entourage of 400 to 500 bodyguards, yet claims to be mingling with the people. He should dispatch teams to pharmacies and markets instead. His disconnected approach is evident when anyone who criticizes him is swiftly silenced.”

However, Imenabadi isn’t the only one within the regime warning about the critical state of the country and society.

Lotfollah Siahkali, another member of the regime’s parliament, warned about the exploitation of the people by Raisi’s government and the soaring exchange rates that may soon hit 100,000 tomans per dollar, potentially leading to an economic collapse: “If the currency reaches 90 to 100 thousand tomans, it will mark the collapse of the economy. People’s pockets are already drained; they have nothing left.”

He illustrated the dire situation: “Some say their pots are empty; others say their pots have holes in them. In my opinion, people’s pockets have been metaphorically pierced. Previously, we could draw from people’s pockets; now, it’s no longer feasible.”

Etemad, a state-run daily, quoted Massoud Nili, a regime economic expert, who highlighted the rampant inflation and poor quality of employment as major macroeconomic challenges: “The high-income class has slipped into the middle class, and the middle class into poverty.”

Another indicator of the country’s dire economic conditions is the regime’s Central Bank’s inability to provide sufficient dollars for imports.

The Central Bank’s claims of timely and adequate foreign currency supply for essential imports faced criticism from economic activists. A member of the Chamber of Commerce delegation revealed that economic activists had been waiting for foreign currency allocation for months.

According to Eghtesad Online, Dawood Rangi, another member of the Chamber of Commerce delegation, disclosed that foreign currency allocation for basic goods imports had been halted for a month.

Kaveh Zargaran, also part of the Chamber of Commerce delegation, stated: “Economic activists have been waiting for currency allocation for five months.”

Acquiring currency has become a major hurdle for the Islamic Republic, especially with the US sanctions limiting access to oil and non-oil export dollars. Iraq’s cooperation with the US Treasury has further complicated matters by cutting off the Islamic Republic’s access to Iraqi dollars.

Experts predict that with recent sanctions intensification and the looming possibility of broader European Union sanctions against Iran, the economic situation for the Islamic Republic, particularly in terms of foreign exchange reserves, will deteriorate further.

Iranian Regime’s Shadow: Hezbollah’s Global Network of Drugs, Money Laundering, and Weapons

By
Mostafa Aslani
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Iranian Regime's Shadow: Hezbollah's Global Network of Drugs, Money Laundering, and Weapons
Iranian Regime's Shadow: Hezbollah's Global Network of Drugs, Money Laundering, and Weapons

A recent investigative report by French weekly Le Point, titled “Iran, Colombia, Lebanon, France… Hezbollah’s Billions,” exposes the expansion of the Iranian-backed militia’s financial resources. The report details Hezbollah’s involvement in drug trafficking and money laundering across several countries.

Drug Trade as a Funding Source

Le Point alleges that Hezbollah’s drug trafficking operation, originally focused on Latin America, has expanded to include money laundering in France. The report claims Hezbollah uses luxury car purchases and laundered funds to acquire ammonium nitrate, a key component in explosives, within France.

The investigation highlights Hezbollah’s growing financial and military power, including increased influence over Lebanon’s struggling government. Le Point identifies Paraguay, Argentina, and Brazil as key regions where Hezbollah has been active for over three decades.

Colombia: A Source of Cocaine

According to the report, containers filled with Hezbollah-linked drugs depart Colombia for Lebanon, Kuwait, Israel, and even the United States. Le Point emphasizes the importance of Colombian cocaine as a primary source of funding for Hezbollah, with the U.S. Treasury Department identifying over 2,000 individuals and companies linked to the group’s drug trafficking activities.

IRGC and Hezbollah: A Partnership in Crime

Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) plays a central role in directing Hezbollah’s drug trade. To facilitate smuggling, both groups have secured control over key routes, including the Iraq-Iran border, Lebanon, Syria, and the entire corridor from the Mediterranean Sea to Tehran.

Cash Transactions and Economic Collapse

Hezbollah and the IRGC rely heavily on cash transactions within their areas of influence to avoid detection. This practice has exacerbated the economic crises in Lebanon, Syria, and Iraq.

Strengthening Power Through Drugs

The investigation concludes that drug trafficking serves as a means for Hezbollah and the IRGC to solidify their control in their respective regions and neighboring countries.

Previous Reports on Hezbollah’s Drug Activities

Le Point isn’t the only source highlighting Hezbollah’s drug trade. The report references a previous Le Point investigation citing Juan Martens, a Paraguayan expert, who confirmed the group’s significant influence in Latin America, particularly among Lebanese immigrant communities.

Additionally, a report from New York Times investigation in April 2019 exposed that Hezbollah’s involvement in money laundering and drug production (particularly cocaine) in Venezuela, is allegedly with the aid of Nicolás Maduro’s government officials.

Another New York Times report details the involvement of Syrian regime officials, including President Bashar al-Assad’s brother Maher, in a billion-dollar Captagon (amphetamine) production and trafficking network.

In a January 2023 Reuters article citing intelligence sources, Jordanian airstrikes were reported to have targeted drug trafficking hideouts associated with the Iranian regime in southern Syria.

The report suggests these actions were prompted by increased drug and weapons smuggling by Hezbollah and other Iranian-affiliated militias near the Jordanian border.

Jordanian officials claim that Hezbollah from Lebanon and militias affiliated with the Iranian regime in southern Syria are increasingly involved in arms and drug trafficking.

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