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Iran: Neither Khamenei nor Rouhani Have a Plan to Save the Regime

The signs, data, and remarks made by regime’s officials and experts about the new cabinet appear to be that it has not been formed to respond to the country’s contradictions and problems, but, instead, to address the demands of regime’s rival bands. Even regime’s own experts acknowledge that the current problems are too serious to resolved through a cabinet reshuffle.

According to Fararoo state website, July 31, 2017, one expert said, “I have no hope for the 12th cabinet”, adding “I believe that as long as we have an infected economy which is widely influenced by capital, it won’t be significantly affected by anyone. An efficient cabinet is the one with a strategy and plan, the terms governments in Iran have nothing to do with.”

As well, according to Afkarnews website, July 25, 2017, a political expert of the regime declared that “economic recession is not an issue that can be resolved by merely replacing ministers. Likewise, having 6-8 million unemployed is not going to be over by replacing the labor minister. The economic slowdown won’t be fixed by replacing the economy minister. Even if the very Adam Smith was the minister of such economy, he wouldn’t be able to fix our economic problems.”

Regarding the government’s budget deficit problem, experts are saying “when a ministry is not adequately funded, what the minister is capable of doing?”

An article published by the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI) says, “Another important obstacle is the deep, widespread corruption which has totally engulfed the regime. The dimensions of the corruption are so huge that even if the current budget is raised 10 or 100 times, it still won’t be able to fix any part of this economic mess. As a matter of fact, the country’s revenues from selling oil alone reached an incredible 700 billion dollars during Ahmadinejad’s two terms in office, surpassing the country’s total oil revenues ever since oil exploration and extraction began a century ago. Meanwhile, what Iranian people got out of these huge revenues was nothing but more deprivation and a deteriorated economic situation.”

In the Velayat-e-Faqih system, the issue is rooted in the nature of the regime, which bears little resemblance to Iranian society’s historical characteristics or the requirements of the current era. The regime uses the country’s facilities and wealth to preserve its own existence and maintain its security. Meeting its peoples’ needs and resolving problems are regarded as minor issues.

Rouhani’s new cabinet and some of its ministers proves this.

Domestic and international opinion forced Rouhani to replace Mostafa Pourmohammadi, who was revealed to be one of 1988 massacre’s main executioners. Rouhani gave Pourmohammadi’s seat to Alireza Avayee. However, Avayee was also actively involved in the 1988 massacre as Khuzestan’s Revolutionary Prosecutor General. Many of the other cabinet members are veterans of regime’s intelligence ministry.

“Meanwhile, we see how Khamenei sets out conditions in his validation decree for Rouhani and his cabinet, with Khamenei’s head of judiciary Amoli Larijani also stressing on those same directives, including paying attention to people’s livelihood and having widespread interactions with the world, as a roadmap not only for president and his colleagues, but for all regime’s bodies and forces as well,” writes the NCRI, and adds, “It goes without saying that making such useless generalized comments are not going to resolve any issue or put forward a way out of regime’s dangerous situation, to which Khamenei refers as ‘decisive days’ while speaking at Rouhani’s validation ceremony. In his speech, Khamenei even refused to once again point to his useless ‘resistance economy’ nonsense, on which he used to repeatedly emphasize in the past.”

Khamenei raises the issue of people’s livelihood, while knowing that the country’s economy is collapsing and production is being devastated. He, himself, acknowledged in March 2016, that more than 60 percent of the country’s production capacity has been shut down. Now, with new US sanctions in place, transferring money through international banks will be impossible.

Rouhani highlights the nuclear deal as the only resolution to regime’s crises. Khamenei speaks of people’s livelihood, interaction with the world, and regime’s internal unity. Meanwhile, neither one has a plan.

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