It becomes clear that the Vienna talks with the Iranian regime’s current government have failed. And the Iranian government announced that Iran’s nuclear negotiations with world powers should wait until the formation of the new government. This made clear that the negotiations are not implemented by Hassan Rouhani’s government, but by the highest-ranking official in this regime, the supreme leader Ali Khamenei, who has decided to move the negotiation process to the next government to gain the regime’s desired goals.
Many analysts of the regime claimed that the so-called current reformist government will prevent any future attacks by Ebrahim Raisi’s principled government therefore they decided to leave the work to them, whether it is a success or a failure.
But other regime analysts claimed that the negotiations have reached the agreement point and only its signature has been left, therefore Khamenei wants that this happens in the next government, to introduce the creator of this opening and write its psychological and political interests at the expense of the future government.
But the reality is something else, and the main factor goes back to the stalemate in the negotiations themselves, and Rouhani’s statement that they take away the opportunity to reach an agreement with the current government does not mean that it was to give this opportunity to the next government, because the regime (Khamenei) has not the upper hand in the negotiations.
Despite some little progress that all sides of the table speaking of, especially Tehran, the truth is that this regime has not reached its main goal which is the complete lifting of the sanctions. Ironically, the regime claimed that about 90 percent of the disputes have been resolved and only 10 percent has been left. And it seems that the left 10 percent is the main part of the disputes, and the deadlock is exactly at this point.
And in this 10 percent, both sides are fighting about the fact-checking of the rival, but the main deadlock is because the US government will put regional and missile policies in the negotiations something that the regime wants to prevent.
Having no other way to get rid of this deadlock, many regime’s analysts and figures especially belonging to the principlist faction said that Tehran has decided to increase the regime’s nuclear activities with the start of the negotiations, to put pressure on the EU and the US to accept the wills of the regime. Activities like the law on Strategic Action of the Parliament, such as the establishment of a metal uranium plant in Isfahan.
But the reality is that the United States and Europe are unlikely to be willing to make concessions under the pressure of these measures, if they were prepared to do something, they would do something to prevent such regime’s measures by reaching an agreement, even before Iran enters the 60% enrichment phase.
It seems that the EU and the US do not fear or show any interest that the regime put all its nuclear cards on the table, without being willing to give Tehran the concessions it wants without meeting their demands, to prevent Tehran from getting as close as possible to the nuclear breakaway point.
Therefore, the Wall Street Journal reports, citing sources in the Biden administration, that intensification of sanctions and sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil to China is intending to send a message to Iran that if a new approach is to be adopted if an agreement is not reached following the US and European demands in none JCPOA cases, sanctions will be intensified, and their approach will be different.