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Consensus on Iran’s “Explosive” Situation

Iran’s Basij force suppressing the people’s protest (Image: Archive)

“Explosive Situation” and a “Society on the Verge of Explosion” are expressions that appear nearly every day in Iran’s state-run media. These two expressions are becoming a constant structure of Iran’s political, social, and economic literature among government officials.

But what the state-run dailies and officials are focusing on is the economic aspect of this situation. According to Iran experts, they are deliberately ignoring the political aspect of this situation which is directly connected to the government’s unresolvable economic crises.

But the truth is that Iranian society is becoming political, because of the regime’s 40-year mismanagement, the misuse of the people’s trust and crimes committed against the Iranian people.

More than ever, this situation is becoming the fuel of the people’s protests which is moving from livelihood and social demands to political demands like the latest protest in November 2019. And as a result of this situation, nearly 90 percent of the people are boycotting the regime’s upcoming presidential election, and this is what has raised the regime’s fear, losing its legitimacy among the people.

The state-run Arman newspaper, in its April 4, 2021 issue, headlined a phrase by a government expert named Mustafa Eghlima: ‘Society is on the verge of explosion.’

This government expert, while warning officials, admits that the Rouhani government is bankrupt and with politics, “jumping from one branch to another one”, is trying to survive. He cites the actions of the Rouhani government as one of the reasons for the ‘intensity of the social explosion’:

“The more we promise people and delay the solution of fundamental problems, the higher the intensity of the social explosion. When the economic pressure on the people exceeds their ability, these pressures will naturally lead to street protests.”

The political, social, and economic realities of Iran are reminding us in every way ​​that the government is stepping on clusters of bombs and living with a ticking time bomb, analysts say. One of the hallmarks of this event is the address that this government expert gives and warns about its due date:

“Expenses have made society nervous, and society is on the verge of an explosion. If this does not happen today, it will undoubtedly happen in the near future.”

As noted, the explosion has gradually shifted from livelihood and economic demands to politic demands. Its political aspect has now become a national demand for the denial of the integrity of the entire system. That is, the people conclude that the source of the emptiness of their tables and the source of the crisis of their livelihood is in the House of the Supreme Leader and its institutions and wings.

About this reality, the same state daily in another article titled, “Bread is more important than freedom; people lack both,” wrote: “Many sociologists have warned of the consequences of poor living conditions and their possible reaction. The important point here is that today’s analysis of the state of society is more political in nature and less talked about from a sociological perspective and the consequences that economic pressures have on people.” (State-run daily Arman, April 3, 2021)

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