Since the US strike on Syria for its chemical attack which left over 100 Syrian civilians dead, talk in the US has centred on Trump’s plan for Syria and how the US should deal with Bashar al-Assad’s key allies Russia and Iran.
Harry J. Kazianis, Director of Defense Studies at The Centre for the National Interest, wrote an op-ed for National Interest about how the US could take on Iran.
In the op-ed, Kazianis quotes a report from the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments (CSBA), an independent, non-profit, think tank specialising in US defence policy.
The report states that in order to effectively fight the Iranian Regime, America would need to establish pockets of air superiority to defend against cyber-attacks from Iran and make offensive strikes.
Kazianis noted that although the CSBA report is slightly dated, he was using it to paint a broad picture of what a US military campaign against Iran would look like.
He wrote: “The size and scale of the campaign would, of course, be dialled up or down based on the goal. If America was attempting to damage Iran’s nuclear program, one would likely see a massive effort to degrade Tehran’s air defence networks to pave the way for B-2 bombers and other aircraft to drop large amounts of precision-guided and/or “bunker-buster” style weapons.”
Kazianis concluded that although war should never be the first option, due to the devastating loss of life, destabilise a country and/or region and the potential to cause more conflict in the future, he believes that analysing any conflict is important before the decision is made.
He wrote: “In the end, the question America needs to square itself with is simply this: Can Washington live with an Iran that will become increasingly powerful in the Middle East [now that the] nuclear deal is signed and on paper?”
If the US wants to, then they should prepare to compete and cooperate with Iran, while still working with its current middle-eastern allies, like Israel and Saudi Arabia, to contain Iran’s nuclear missile programme.
However, given the aggression shown by the Iranian Regime (launching ballistic missiles in spite of the nuclear pact, attacking foreign ships in the Red Sea) and the war-hawks that make up the Trump administration, the US is unlikely to cooperate with Iran.
Could America choose to go after Iran for their support of the Assad Regime? Or will they choose to go after them for breaking the nuclear deal? Or for their numerous human rights violations?
Well, the most logical option is to first work with the Iranian Resistance; a move recommended by 23 former senior national security officials in a letter to Trump in January.
They can help stop the Regime.