This decision will have consequences further afield than Iran. One country that may be affected in particular is North Korea.
nalysts of the situation in the Middle East say that Iran is keeping a close eye on what is happening between the United States and North Korea so that it can see how far it can push the US.
On the other hand, others argue that North Korea is getting the message that the United States cannot be trusted as it is prepared to go back on deals that have already been negotiated.
Although Trump has certified Iran’s compliance twice already, he has hinted that he will not do so for a third time. He told reporters that a decision had already been made, but he was not ready to share it.
During his speech at the United Nations General Assembly last week, Trump called the nuclear deal an “embarrassment” to the United States and made it clear that the Iran threat and the North Korea threats are closely linked. He insulted the North Korean leader and threatened to destroy the country, then continued to speak about “another reckless regime” – Iran.
Although he would not comment on the relationship between Iran and North Korea, commander of U.S. Strategic Command, General John Hyten, said that when the US takes action somewhere, attention is paid elsewhere too. He meant that every move made by the US delivers a strategic message to adversaries across the world.
Speaking specifically about the Iran nuclear deal, Hyten said that although Iran was technically complying with the nuclear deal, he said it was very worrying that missile tests are not included. The Secretary of State Rex Tillerson also confirmed Iran was technically compliant.
Scrapping the nuclear deal will not be as easy as that, however the US has very few remaining options. The military options are not ideal and sanctions are not having any effect. Some say that diplomacy is the only real solution, but it will be difficult for North Korea to trust the United States as it tears up the nuclear deal with Iran.
Trump’s criticism of the Iran deal is reminiscent of Bush’s criticism of the North Korea deal. Lessons should be learned and the Trump administration should create additional agreements instead of scrapping the current one.
Meanwhile, Iran has left critics with no doubt that there is cooperation with North Korea as it announced its new Khoramshahr medium-range ballistic missile. Trump took the opportunity to again emphasise that Iran’s belligerence shows no respect for the nuclear deal. He said on Twitter: “Iran just test-fired a Ballistic Missile capable of reaching Israel. They are also working with North Korea. Not much of an agreement we have!”