Insider news & Analysis in Iran

Nuclear Deal Likely to be Delayed

There is now less than two weeks until the next round of nuclear negotiations, and the outlook for them is increasingly uncertain. The latest obstacle comes in the form of the slow pace of dealings between Iran and the International Atomic Energy Authority, which is investigating Iran’s past nuclear advancements to confirm or deny its pursuit of an atomic bomb. This process is technically separate from the six-party negotiations, but it is generally accepted that the outcome of the investigation, as well as Iran’s transparency with the IAEA, will determine the final Western position. 

That transparency has so far been lacking. Although Iran has finally provided documents supposedly explaining the civil uses of its exploding bridge wire research, it has taken the regime literally years to do so, suggesting that it may have been working to conceal incriminating evidence in the meantime. Similar suspicions surround Iran’s Parchin military facility, which the IAEA suspect of being connected to a nuclear program, and at which Iran has been doing extensive construction and cleanup while denying investigators access. 

What’s more, the IAEA indicates that it has documents that contradict Iran’s claims about the civil uses of its detonators. These discrepancies and delays all point to a long-term investigative process, and Yukiya Amano, the head of the IAEA, has acknowledged the delay, saying that the agency’s investigation will not be complete by the July 20 deadline for P5+1 negotiations, and likely will not be complete until next year.                                 

Canadian Media Dust-Up 

Some commentators are especially hard on Western nuclear negotiators, while others take quite the opposite tack, even going so far as to suggest that Iran’s nuclear efforts may be justified in light of the perception of excessive Western aggression. This is the sort of view advocated by Canadian columnist Troy Bridgeman, who wrote an editorial in the Guelph Mercury in which he parroted Iranian denials about its weapons programs while chastising Israel and the US for their sanctions and other efforts to pressure the Iranian regime. He concludes by saying that no party “can claim to be the sole occupant of the high moral ground” in the conflict over the nuclear issue.

On Tuesday, the column came to the attention of Honest Reporting Canada, which called Bridgeman’s claims “absurd” and a “false moral equivalence.” Mike Fegelman, the organization’s executive director, emphasized the Iranian regime’s ideological stance with respect to the Jewish state and its tendency to “incite genocide in its calls for Israel’s demise.” Fegelman claims that these things make a nuclear-armed Iran a significantly greater threat than its major rivals. 

Declaring Victory in Syria 

Apart from the nuclear threat and the issue of Israel, Iran is continuing to push for continued influence in other parts of the Middle Eastern region, through conventional military and political means. In fact, the Washington Post reports that Iran is preemptively declaring victory for its own side of the Syrian conflict, based on the anticipated reelection of Bashar al-Assad in a virtually uncontested election that has been described as a “parody of democracy.”

Officials including Iran’s Foreign Minister JavadZarif and Major General Yahya Rahim Safavi have declared that the elections mark the failure of a Western conspiracy to overthrow Bashar al-Assad, whom Iran has actively supported with shipments of weapons, equipment, and soldiers. By contrast, the rebels opposing Assad have received lukewarm Western support, at best.

This leads Lebanese journalist KhairallahKhairallah to analyze the question of whether Iran has prevented the Syrian regime’s collapse. He acknowledges that it has, but further questions whether this gives Iran reason to believe that it effective owns Syria now. He concludes by emphasizing that “the Syrian people’s revolution hasn’t yet said its final word” and that “the sweeping majority of the Syrian people don’t want Iran.” 

Oil Ministry on Cyber-Alert 

According to UPI, Vahid Reza Zeidifar, a civil defense administrator at Iran's Oil Ministry, has issued a statement indicating that the ministry closely monitors its computer system for any cyber security threats, and that such threats will be successfully kept at bay. 

That statement named no specific, current threats, and may have simply served as general propaganda about the regime’s capabilities. However, the desire for such propaganda underscores the fact that conflict between Iran and its rivals is increasingly finding some outlet in cyberspace. 

On Saturday, it was announced that Iranian hackers had attempted to acquiring information about weapons systems through a phishing attack. The nation’s cyber espionage capabilities have made considerable strides in the past year, but continue to lag far beyond the US, Europe, and Israel. Cyber-attacks on Iranian infrastructure have previously damaged nuclear centrifuges and forced the shutdown of oil facilities.

Comeback for Ahmadinejad? 

Amnesty International identifies many negative trends in Iranian education as having begun in earnest under the Ahmadinejad administration, although it also points that the situation has not noticeably improved under the leadership of his successor. The general lack of domestic change suggests that despite Rouhani’s pragmatic approach to dealings with foreign powers, the overall conservatism of the Ahmadinejad administration still has a welcome home in the Iranian system. 

 

This fact may explain why Ahmadinejad reportedly feels that the time may be coming for a political comeback. According to the Brookings Institution, the former Iranian president’s estranged brother Davoud has said that there is a “strong chance” of Ahmadinejad running for president again, and an article at the website Fararu suggests that he may currently be attempting to gauge his own popularity.

Iranian Opposition

Maryam Rajavi: Iranian People Forging Ahead Towards Certain Victory: Part 3

During the Free Iran conference in Ashraf 3, Albania, last month, Maryam Rajavi, leader of the Iranian opposition, gave a speech a...

Maryam Rajavi: Iranian People Forging Ahead Towards Certain Victory: Part 2

During the Free Iran conference in Ashraf 3, Albania, last month, Maryam Rajavi, leader of the Iranian opposition, gave a speech a...

Infightings

Iran's Expediency Council Undecided About FATF Bills

Iran's Expediency Council Undecided About FATF Bills

By INU Staff INU - Ahmad Tavakoli, member of Iran’s Expediency Council, warned about imminent "strategic political and security t...

Iranian Theorist Predicts End of Regime

Iranian Theorist Predicts End of Regime

By INU Staff INU - A well-known Iranian hardline theorist has predicted the fall of the regime, explicitly telling the government...

Nuclear

Is Iran getting ready to launch a new satellite?

The Iranian Regime seems to be getting ready to launch another satellite into orbit, following two failed attempts this year, even...

Iran Continues to Exceed JCPOA Limits

Iran Continues to Exceed JCPOA Limits

By INU Staff INU - The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), or 2015 Iran nuclear as it is more commonly known, has limits ...

Human rights

40 people given flogging sentences in Iran

Forty people in Iran’s northwestern Ardabil province have been given flogging sentences, according to a judicial official, most of...

UN report condemns executions in Iran

The United Nations Special Rapporteur on human rights in Iran said that there were increased restrictions on freedom of expression...

Women

Iran labor activist sentenced to 7 years and 74 lashes

A female Iranian labor activist has been sentenced to seven years in prison and 74 lashes after her trial at the Revolutionary Cou...

Maryam Rajavi Says “No to Compulsory Veiling”

Maryam Rajavi Says “No to Compulsory Veiling”

By Mahmoud Hakamian Maryam Rajavi, the leader of the Iranian opposition, has been very vocal about her opinions on the forced vei...

Economy

German Exports to Iran Take a Nosedive as Sanctions Take Effect

German Exports to Iran Take a Nosedive as Sanctions Take Effect

By INU Staff INU - Last year, US President Donald Trump pulled the United States out of the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, or Joint Comp...

Corruption in Iran’s Oil and Health Ministries Revealed

Corruption in Iran’s Oil and Health Ministries Revealed

By INU Staff INU - The Iranian Regime is facing intense unrelenting pressure under the twin forces of the Iranian people and thei...

Sanctions

Europe must cancel Zarif’s visit

The Iranian Regime’s state-run news agencies are reporting that Mohammad Javad Zarif, the mullahs’ Minister of State for Foreign A...

Iran Regime Officials Scared of US Sanctions

Iran Regime Officials Scared of US Sanctions

By INU Staff INU - After the US imposed sanctions on Iranian foreign minister, Mohammad Javad Zarif, regime officials began to vo...

Middle East

Release of Iranian Tanker Creates New Uncertainties about Persian Gulf Tensions

It was reported on Monday that a tanker laden with Iranian oil, which was ordered released by authorities in Gibraltar last week, ...

Iran: British Government Sends Further Reinforcements to Gulf to Guarantee Safety

Iran: British Government Sends Further Reinforcements to Gulf to Guarantee Safet…

By INU Staff INU - Following the arrival of a second British warship in the Gulf, the United Kingdom is set to send further milit...

Terrorism

Iranian Supreme Leader Pledges Support for Houthi Rebels in Yemen

Iranian Supreme Leader Pledges Support for Houthi Rebels in Yemen

By INU Staff INU - Earlier this week, the Supreme Leader of Iran Ayatollah Ali Khamenei reaffirmed Iran’s support for the Houthi ...

Iran’s Terrorist Training Camps Exposed

Iran’s Terrorist Training Camps Exposed

By INU Staff INU -  The Iranian opposition has been warning the international community about a number of threats that the Irania...

#IranProtests

#FreeIran 2019

latest INU tweet

GETTING TO KNOW IRAN'S REVOLUTIONARY GUARDS

THE STORY OF THE 1988 MASSACRE IN IRAN

Copyright © 2018 Iran News Update