Insider news & Analysis in Iran

More Centrifuges!

With the deadline for a nuclear agreement less than two weeks away, Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei issued a statement on his website on Monday, in which he complicated the talks by further raising Iranian demands for enrichment capability. In it, he insisted that his officials had determined that the nation requires 190,000 separative work unites (SWUs) – the equivalent of 190,000 first-generation centrifuges – to fulfill its domestic enrichment need.

The West has categorically rejected the idea that Iran needs even its current quantities of domestic enrichment for civilian purposes. It has called for Iran to reduce its stockpile of centrifuges to about 3,000 or fewer. Nonetheless, Iran has formerly maintained that it must be allowed to keep 50,000 centrifuges operational – a five-fold increase from its current number. Apart from increasing this demand, Khamenei’s statement falsely boasts of forcing Western concessions, claiming that negotiators are now willing to accept an operational capacity of 10,000 centrifuges.

Nuclear Commentaries

Khamenei’s escalating demands reinforce the point made by Telegraph blogger David Blair. He writes approvingly of the close relations between Iran and the United States amidst ongoing negotiations, but argues that even such well-intentioned diplomacy may be incapable of securing a deal, because the gap between the opposing positions is simply too wide. Blair suggests that Iran will be entirely unwilling to reverse its nuclear program, as the US would require it to do.

Writing in the Washington Post, Jennifer Rubin emphasizes that the two sides have agreed to nothing of any value, and she suggests that that failure should be used as an opportunity for the US to get tough with Iran by reauthorizing sanctions and supporting Israel in a possible military response. “The U.S. has already given up far too much for nothing,” she writes, after pointing out that there is no possible peaceful use for tens of thousands of centrifuges.

In another, less explicit commentary coming from a place closer to the negotiations, French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius implied that the prospects for a deal had worsened in recent days because of elements that support the overly demanding Iranian side. Fabius remarked that there were growing differences between the Western nations and Iran’s traditional ally Russia over their approaches to the talks.

Amidst such pessimism about the negotiations, reports indicate that US Secretary of State John Kerry may join the talks along with foreign ministers from the other nations involved. Rather than helping to secure a deal by the July 20 deadline, these senior figures may fill the role of setting the terms of an extension to the talks.

Sanctions Relief and Defiance

At the same time that the US has failed to stand up to Iran by defending its organized opposition, the overall soft approach of the Obama administration, including temporary sanctions relief, has apparently helped Iran to diminish some of its economic problems. According to Tehran Times, the Iranian government has initiated new plans for the petrochemical industry that may have the effect of increasing output by some two million tons this year. Sanctions relief is credited for the country’s ability to invest billions of dollars in these efforts.

Tehran Times specifically notes plans to turn Chabahar Port into a petrochemical hub that will make it easier to reach the Indian market. This may be indicative of Indian incentives to deal more closely with Iran. Trade Arabia points out that India has just paid a second installment of 550 million dollars that it owes to Iran and can now pay under the terms of the interim nuclear deal that released frozen Iranian assets. This goes to show that Iran is still benefiting considerably from that interim agreement, even as the failure of a final deal appears imminent.

But as reported earlier, the easing of sanctions may have already motivated many international businesses to seek access to the Iranian market, regardless of whether doing so has been made legal. Following immediately upon the news that French bank BNP Paribas has arranged to pay nine billion dollars in penalties to the US for similar offenses, it is now being reported that Germany’s Commerzbank may soon pay 500 million dollars in penalties and avoid criminal charges for illegally dealing with Iran and other US-sanctioned countries.

 

Iranian Opposition

Recognizing Iran regime’s real opponents

Recognizing Iran regime’s real opponents

By INU Staff The Iran threat is complicated and it is worsened by the misinformation and a lack of true reporting by the internat...

Time to support the quest of Iranian People for Regime Change

Time to support the quest of Iranian People for Regime Change

By INU Staff INU - After years and years of mismanagement and widespread corruption, the Iranian economy is in tatters and the pe...

Infightings

Iran: Further media restrictions to impact 2020 parliamentary elections

Iran: Further media restrictions to impact 2020 parliamentary elections

By INU Staff INU - The Iranian parliamentary elections are due to be held in just over a year on 21st February 2020. In preparati...

Iran: Supreme Leader Tries to Avoid Public Backlash Following Flooding Crisis

Iran: Supreme Leader Tries to Avoid Public Backlash Following Flooding Crisis

By Siavosh The people of Iran have been dealing with the aftermath of torrential rain and huge storms that have resulted in flash...

Nuclear

Iran Regime’s Nuclear Ultimatum May Have Opposite of Intended Effect on European Policy

Iran Regime’s Nuclear Ultimatum May Have Opposite of Intended Effect on European…

By Edward Carney Although the European signatories to the 2015 Iran nuclear deal remain broadly committed to upholding it a year ...

Iran angry at France over tweets regarding nuclear deal

Iran angry at France over tweets regarding nuclear deal

By INU Staff INU - Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi has said that tweets by Gerard Araud, the French Ambassador to th...

Human rights

Two Months After Nationwide Flooding, Iran Still Withholds Relief, Attacks Victims

Two Months After Nationwide Flooding, Iran Still Withholds Relief, Attacks Victi…

By Edward Carney United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs and the European Civil Protection Mechanism h...

Ramadan Marks Accelerated Repression of Iran’s Religious Minorities, Secular Youth

Ramadan Marks Accelerated Repression of Iran’s Religious Minorities, Secular You…

By Mahmoud Hakamian On Wednesday, Iran Human Rights Monitor reported upon a raid that occurred at a restaurant located on the cam...

Women

Tensions Growing Between Female Activists and Sexist Iranian Institutions

Tensions Growing Between Female Activists and Sexist Iranian Institutions

By Edward Carney On Monday, the Center for Human Rights in Iran reported upon the sentencing of a female political prisoner by th...

Fearing Arrest, Iran’s Female Boxer Shines Light on Women’s Rights Issues

Fearing Arrest, Iran’s Female Boxer Shines Light on Women’s Rights Issues

By Edward Carney On Sunday, Al Monitor published an article examining the case of Sadaf Khadem, a female Iranian boxer who made h...

Economy

Iran’s export to Iraq drop by 50%

Iran’s export to Iraq drop by 50%

By INU Staff INU - Iraq has significantly reduced its imports from the Iranian Regime in the past month, according to an economic...

Iran Regime’s economic problems caused by military interference

Iran Regime’s economic problems caused by military interference

By INU Staff INU - Iran’s economy is set to contract by 6% in 2019, while also facing 40% inflation, according to the Internation...

Sanctions

Details of US-Iran Escalation Remain Hazy, but Sanctions Remain the Focus

Details of US-Iran Escalation Remain Hazy, but Sanctions Remain the Focus

By Edward Carney In the midst of escalating tensions between Iran and the United States, Western media was filled with inconsiste...

Turkey complies with U.S. regarding imports of Iranian oil

Turkey complies with U.S. regarding imports of Iranian oil

By INU Staff INU - Last year, the U.S. State Department announced that it would be expecting all foreign countries to reduce thei...

Middle East

White House Confident in its Ability to Deter Iranian Threats

White House Confident in its Ability to Deter Iranian Threats

By Edward Carney Escalating tensions between the United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran were prominently featu...

The IRGC and Catching the Mullahs off Guard

The IRGC and Catching the Mullahs off Guard

By Dr Salem Al Ketbi The Iranian mullahs have no other project than the sectarianist, expansionist plans of the Iranian Revolutio...

Terrorism

Iran behind attacks on ships in Middle East

Iran behind attacks on ships in Middle East

By INU Staff INU - Earlier this week, a U.S. official announced that the recent attacks carried out in the Middle East were order...

As Iran’s Provocations Grow, the White House Insists the Danger is Well-Managed

As Iran’s Provocations Grow, the White House Insists the Danger is Well-Managed

By Edward Carney On Tuesday, the UK’s Express newspaper declared that concerns about the potential for war had increased further ...

Iran Protests 2018

Free Iran 2018 Gathering - 30 June 2018 - Villepinte, Paris

latest INU tweet

GETTING TO KNOW IRAN'S REVOLUTIONARY GUARDS

THE STORY OF THE 1988 MASSACRE IN IRAN

Copyright © 2018 Iran News Update