President Barack Obama believed that Iran was looking to change and wanted to create a legacy to leave the White House with. He believed, or so he said, that the Iran nuclear deal would take the country away from the ideals of the Revolution.
The IRGC however really wanted to acquire a nuclear weapon so that it could fearlessly pursue wars in the region – in Yemen, Syria, Lebanon and Iraq.
So Rouhani decided that the best way forward would be to get the nuclear deal signed so that billions of dollars could be freed up. Then, with this huge financial gain, it could go ahead and continue with what was planned – but in a much easier way.
President Obama clearly misjudged the real intentions and ambitions of the mullahs.
Since the deal was signed, so far three Arab countries have been sabotaged by the Iranian regime.
It knew that it could expand all across the Middle East if it stayed clear of Israel.
General Soleimani immediately went to Russia after the deal was signed to get President Putin to help save Assad’s regime in Syria.
So with the help of Russia in Syria and the help of the United States in Iraq, Iran seemed to be doing well with its plans.
Now that President Donald Trump is in office, can the Iranian regime continue with the good luck it has so far enjoyed? President Trump has made it very clear that he believes the Iran nuclear deal is severely flawed and has threatened to “rip it up”.
It is unlikely that President Trump will fully scrap the deal, but it is almost certain that he will ensure that Iran adheres very strictly to the terms and will have consequences for when or if it does not.
Also, although the US wants good relations with Iran, it also wants the same with Russia. Will this be possible? Will the US convince Russia to cooperate in seeking a political solution for Syria? If so, this will cause difficulty for Iran which wants the Syrian war to continue for as long as possible.