Insider news & Analysis in Iran

By INU Staff

INU - There was simply no way that Donald Trump could remain a party to the 2015 Iranian nuclear agreement and his withdrawal is certainly the best option. It won’t bring peace to the region right away, but it will impact on the Iranian Regime’s ability to threaten US allies and interests in the Middle East by cutting off their ability to fund their malign military and proxy forces.

This damage to the Iranian economy, the majority of which is controlled by the Regime and their Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC), was felt before Trump even made his decision; the rial dropped by one-third against the dollar, Total withdrew from investing in the Iranian oil fields and Airbus is talking about cancelling its airplane sales to Iran.

This economic crisis is something that the Iranian Regime is truly scared about, especially given that the ongoing anti-regime protests that began in late December were sparked by rising costs and falling wages. Not only will the monetary problems encourage the Iranian people to protest more, but it will also mean that the IRGC is less able to suppress them. This could well be the end of the Regime.

Of course, the Iranian Regime is still likely to deflect attention from their domestic crises by instigating or encouraging crises elsewhere in the region, as they have done previously in Syria, Yemen, Iraq, and Lebanon

Abdulrahman al-Rashed, the former General Manager of Al Arabiya News Channel, wrote that the countries of the Middle East should work together to confront Iran’s malign behaviour in other nation states and defend their security.

He wrote: “The recent parliamentary elections’ results in Lebanon confirm that Tehran is progressing quickly to confront the region in every possible way. Liberating Lebanon, Syria and Iraq from Iranian domination and getting the Iranian regime out of Yemen are linked to besieging the regime economically and restraining it.”

He also advised that the right move is to stand with the Iranian people in their popular uprising, which he called “a peaceful war”, and support them.

The Iranian people are currently fighting for regime change in their country, recognising that after nearly 40 years the Regime is incapable of reform. Following Trump’s decision to withdraw from the nuclear deal, Maryam Rajavi, the president-elect of the Iranian Resistance, said: “Eradicating the clerical regime’s nuclear and terrorist threats means getting rid of the regime in its entirety. A regime based on the principle of Velayat-e faqih (absolute rule of the clergy) cannot exist without terrorism, suppression, and weapons of mass destruction.”

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