A meeting of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Board of Governors will be held in late September to review Iran’s nuclear crisis.
Hossein Amirabdollahian, Iran’s foreign minister, said that they would need 2-3 months to decide about the nuclear negotiations. He is pointing to the fate of the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JPCOA) signed between Iran and major world powers.
The U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said that they are reaching a point that the JCPOA would not fulfill the benefits that it should be.
“I’m not going to put a date on it, but we are getting closer to the point at which a strict return to compliance with the JCPOA does not reproduce the benefits that that agreement achieved,” said Antony Blinken.
“There is a point at which it would be very difficult to regain all the benefits of the JCPOA by returning to strict compliance with the JCPOA. We are not at that point yet, but it’s getting closer, and that’s why we have been very clear that the ability to rejoin the JCPOA, mutual return, mutual compliance is not indefinite,” Blinken added.
U.S. State Department spokesperson Ned Price said that “this process cannot continue indefinitely.”
Politico strengthening the stagnation of the negotiations in an article entitled, “Hope fades as Iran nuclear program and talks stall” wrote:
“As nuclear negotiators from Iran, the U.S. and other world powers continue to put off returning to the bargaining table in the Austrian capital, the bad news has started to pile up and the rhetoric is turning more pessimistic. The prolonged stalemate — ongoing since June — has some now speculating that the window to revive a 2015 nuclear deal with Iran is closing.
“The latest blow came Tuesday night, when the U.N. nuclear watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), presented two confidential reports, seen by POLITICO, describing Iran’s refusal to provide satisfactory answers to a probe into its past nuclear activities. The watchdog agency also said Tehran is severely obstructing the important monitoring work of international inspectors.” (POLITICO, September 9, 2021)
The reason for this is situation seems clear. As the Wall Street Journal put it on September 8, 2021: “Iran is refusing to allow inspectors access to nuclear-related sites and hindering a probe by the United Nations atomic agency while continuing to expand its nuclear activities, the International Atomic Energy Agency said in two confidential reports Tuesday, casting doubt on efforts to revive the 2015 nuclear deal.”
About the question of why Iran is preventing the agreed inspections, the IAEA in its report, ‘NPT Safeguards Agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran,’ published on May 31, 2021, in the summary section wrote:
“The presence of multiple uranium particles of anthropogenic origin at three locations in Iran not declared to the Agency, as well as the presence of isotopically altered particles at one of these locations, is a clear indication that nuclear material and/or equipment contaminated by nuclear material has been present at these locations.”
Now, all sides of the JCPOA agreement are well informed that since the beginning, it is the regime and mainly its supreme leader Ali Khamenei who is playing with time.
Playing with time unilaterally presents the conclusion that the government regime seeks to the nuclear bomb under the shadow of long-lasting negotiations.
Despite the continuing appeasement policy, Western powers are forced to give the regime an ultimatum and deadline. Hence, a global consensus is being formed against the Iranian government. And regime’s government has no power to withstand them and this situation anymore. Many Iran experts agree that the regime is trembling, and it has become unstable.
The meeting of the IAEA Board of Governors is part of this process of putting pressure on Khamenei. If Khamenei does not step back soon, the regime’s case may go from the Board of Governors to the UN Security Council, which will definitely have a more difficult path ahead.