In the three weeks leading up to The Poland Conference, the Iranian regime has shown its concern over the consequences of such an international event.
Bahram Ghassemi, Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesman, evaded questions from reporters about Tehran’s position regarding Warsaw and other participants in the event. “I am asking your permission to refrain from making any remarks… we are in contacts and finally after we finalize what we need we hope to talk more about this in the near future,” he said.
Allies of Iran regime’s Leader Ali Khamenei want to stand firm in the face of all conference participants. For instance, Mojtaba Zolnour, head of the Iranian Majlis (parliament) Nuclear Committee explained, “Our diplomatic apparatus must adopt a proper and firm position regarding the anti-Iranian session in Poland… The more we take steps back in the political world and have soft positions, the more our adversaries will demand.
In appropriate times we must have firm responses.” However, he added, “For the time being, the Islamic Republic has decided to continue talks with the Europeans and take steps forward to maybe see if anything happens with the ‘special purpose vehicle.’ However, this doesn’t mean we are relying on them.”
Some Iranian regime officials advocate for a more moderate tone. According to former Majlis member Fereidoon Majlesi, who spoke to the EuroNews website,
“[The Iranian regime] is isolated in today’s world, not only due to the fact that others oppose or not agree with our measures. The reason is that all parties consider their relations with the United States more serious, far more important and necessary. Therefore, they are concerned over their relations with the U.S. suffering due to their ties with Iran.”
Regime insider, Jalal Khoshchehre, has also raised concerns. He pointed out in an interview with the state-run E’temad daily, “In addition to increasing economic pressures, the Trump administration is now focusing on two other solutions more than ever before: regional isolation and taking action to establish a global front against Iran.”
Increasing protests continue to plague the country. Officials are using the terms “internal disintegration,” “people’s distrust,” “foreign ambiguity” and “disorganization”. Now, an international coalition will address its terrorist meddling and warmongering across the region. The coalition seeks to ensure that the Iranian regime halts its destabilizing force and its malign activities. This policy will have consequences for the regime.
Many countries in the Middle East and Europe have been targets of Iran’s meddling — and they will be participating in the Warsaw conference. The result of this conference is like to be further international isolation and increasing pressures, such as sanctions. A department of the Iranian regime’s Ministry of Intelligence has already been sanctioned, and recent trends show more will come.
Former Iranian regime diplomat Ali Khorram, told the state-run Iranian Diplomacy website, “If Washington is able to obtain relative victories from the February session, it will most definitely be a medium for future anti-Iranian action. Therefore, Tehran and especially our foreign policy apparatus should carry out very careful measures… the situation may become far more difficult in the future for Tehran… and they can create grave concerns for us through global consensus.”
The daily protests and nationwide uprisings force Khamenei to worry about the future in 2019. With support for the people from the Iranian opposition People’s Mojahedin Organization of Iran (PMOI/MEK), regime change may be on the horizon.