Concurrent with the Iranian regime’s fanciful operation against what it called operation against the US piracy in the Gulf of Oman, its president Ebrahim Raisi confirmed the regime’s request for the start of the nuclear negotiations with world powers (known as the JCPOA) and said:
“Our desired negotiation is a result-oriented negotiation.” With this small sentence, he is concocting for the regime’s elements this illusion that the regime is moving back to the negotiation table without any pressure and by its own will, and is searching for its desired requests, otherwise, it would halt the negotiations again.
Analysts believe this claim to be misleading. The truth is the regime is not in such a position to make prescriptions for the JCPOA. A JCPOA which as they said that they “must consider it finished and witness its death and destruction.”
Despite the regime’s bogus saber-rattling, analyzing the regime’s newspapers and media exposed the opposite.
Abdolreza Faraji, a regime’s international affairs analyst, responded to a reporter in the state-run Arman newspaper on November 7, 2021, while trying to deny the possibility of the regime’s nuclear case going to the Security Council and being included in chapter VII of the UN Charter, but subconsciously he admits:
“I do not see Plan B. Israel is putting a lot of pressure on Plan B, but some European and Gulf Arab states are less inclined to plan B. But if Iran will not accept to sign any JCPOA then they will consider a plan B.
“Plan B, which Biden once proposed and then withdrew, had the central idea of a severer control over Iran’s oil exports. What is in the mind of Israel and some Arabs about the plan B, is that Iran’s case goes to the Security Council and be placed there under Chapter VII of the UN Charter.”
In addition, this expert acknowledged elsewhere that if the regime fails to reach an agreement in the negotiations, it will face a bleak prospect:
“No major work can be done unless the oil is exported to the maximum and the money is easily imported to the country. Otherwise, neither housing nor roads will be built, and there may even be problems in paying wages and salaries in the future.
“If the negotiations do reach a result, we will see an increase in inflation and a rise in the price of the dollar. If the dollar moves up, the majority will not be able to buy a can of yogurt or a sack of rice. However, the people are currently in a state of suffocation, so the negotiations must be concluded.”
So far it can be concluded that if the regime does not accept a decisive decision in the negotiations, it will face two inevitable consequences:
- The possibility that its nuclear case will be referred back to the UN Security Council and will be discussed under Chapter VII of the UN Charter.
- Economic suffocation due to rising inflation and rising dollar prices, which will have a direct impact on people’s living and will pave the way for nationwide protests.
The main purpose of Raisi’s ‘result-oriented negotiations’ is the lifting of all sanctions. Meanwhile, all current data suggests that this demand is nothing more than an illusion. That is because:
- The United States, as its officials have said in various ways, can only lift at maximum the nuclear sanctions if the regime agrees to negotiate with the West, specifically the United States, so the issue of lifting all sanctions which many of them are in relation with the regime’s missile, human rights violation and misbehavior in the region are not included.
- The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) is still struggling to implement the ‘Additional Protocol’ with the regime. The results of surveillance camera monitoring are not currently being presented to the Agency; No agreement can be reached until this consent is obtained.
- The regime has demanded that the United States ensure that it does not withdraw from the JCPOA once again. This too is illusional because the US President does not have the authority to ensure such a wish.
Thus, Raisi’s claim that the negotiations will be result-oriented is just a commotion to cover up the regime’s weakness in the current balance of power.
[Raisi’s government] wants to say with a series of conditions, preconditions, and actions that this is not the continuation of the previous path, and we are moving in the direction of national interests. Of course, this is more rhetoric and a waste of time to our detriment.” (Javid Qorban Oghli, state-run daily Jahan-e-Sanat, November 7, 2021)