On Friday, September 24, 2021, Iran’s foreign minister Hossein Amir Abollahian said that the stalled talks with world powers on the regime’s nuclear accord would resume ‘very soon’, and the US while showing its frustration about an unclear expression said that it is not sure what timeframe Tehran had in mind and that the negotiation window would be not kept open forever.
A regime official interpreted the regime’s promise of ‘very soon’ as ‘it can mean a few days; it can mean a few weeks.’ US State Department spokesman Ned Price about the regime’s ‘very soon’ said: ‘But we have up until this point not received clarity on what precisely that means.’
This is while the UN nuclear watchdog on Saturday, September 26, 2021, said that it had been denied ‘indispensable’ access to a centrifuge component manufacturing workshop in Karaj (TESA), which is increasing the suspicions on Iran’s goals about the ‘very soon’ time limit to return to the negotiations.
In his latest speech, the regime’s foreign minister said while fearing the consequences of his latest claims about the time of the negotiations that the regime did not arrange their decisions.
Iran watchers believe the regime is trying to buy time to reach an unreversible nuclear point. They say, however, that Iran has chosen the wrong path.
Changes are happening in Europe that are not without effects on the Iranian regime. German Chancellor Angela Merkel is gone, and new elections are being conducted.
The French elections are coming up, and the United Kingdom is leaning more toward the United States. The solidarity on the European Troika is largely cracked. Iran’s position is mostly reliant on the European Union, and this Union does not have the capability and consistency of the past.
Therefore, Iran’s regime must strive to enter negotiations if the required space is available. In addition, it should lower the level of its unreal expectations while putting nothing on the table and increasing its nuclear facilities. If they are going to move with the same path as in the past, they are not going to get any results at all, and they will aggravate the situation for themselves, Iran watchers say.
Iran’s refusal to start negotiations is partly to pressure the West, but the West may become immune during this period while forcing the regime to play on its terms. Therefore, the regime should start the negotiations sooner according to the conditions created in Europe.
That is not the least since the US is also interested in leaving the Middle East. With the closing US bases, the regime is no longer able to threaten the US with missiles and terror attacks on the US bases, therefore it is losing one of its levers, which is not in its favor while becoming more isolated, and strategical aids such as the ISIS to expand its dominance in the Middle East are vanishing.
Accelerating events such as the meetings between the regime’s foreign minister and the Saudi foreign minister certainly agreed with the Americans are the signs to resolve these problems in the Middle East sooner.
Nourishing from the instability in the Middle East to cover up its internal crisis, such events as resolving the disputes with the region’s countries will weaken the regime and make the existence of organizations such as the Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) and the Quds Force baseless.
The regime’s stalemate is aptly reflected in one of the regime’s state media:
“Iran has no choice but to change positions, now it is playing with time to express indifference to westerners in a gesture, but in my opinion, this diplomacy is not desirable, and it is not going to work.
“That is, neither the U.S. nor the Europeans will back down from their positions, nor can Iran score more points in this way.
“What leads us to negotiate and conclude is to lower the level of expectations, which means taking our first condition that all sanctions be lifted, which is by no means acceptable.
“We need to enter negotiations with a constructive song to fix the problem. Iran can’t continue this situation economically.
“There are grounds for social protests, and if it weren’t the coronavirus, we would already see its formation. However, this situation cannot continue.
“In addition, during this period of Mr. Raisi’s career, we have seen an increase of between 2 and 3.5 percent of inflation, and this situation does not leave the possibility of using relaxation and tightening diplomacy.” (State-run daily Jahan-e-Sanat, September 26, 2021)